In this article, Edward P. Freeland analyzes Donald Trump's re-election in 2024, pointing out that, despite an apparent populist wave, his victory came down to a narrow margin of 230,000 votes in three key states: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan. This figure represents less than 0.2% of the 152 million votes cast, illustrating a deeply divided nation.
The author identifies three major factors likely to limit the implementation of Trump's agenda:
- Institutional constraints: The checks and balances of the American political system, such as Congress and the judiciary, could hamper some of the administration's initiatives.
- Economic challenges: The current economic situation, marked by challenges such as inflation and inequality, could complicate the fulfillment of campaign promises.
- Public opinion: A polarized population and active opposition movements could limit support.